H ere's where Tammy lies right now . Hurricane Tammy Graphic Novel ...
and where it's headed: Tammy's center is just east of Guadeloupe as it moves toward the northwest. Tammy has strengthened modestly given that Friday night.
The storm reinforced into a typhoon on Friday morning in the tropical Atlantic. This is an uncommon place for a hurricane to form this late in the year, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a tropical researcher at Colorado State University.
By early in the week ahead, Tammy must turn northward, then northeastward out to sea and not be a concern for the continental United States.
The route northward away from the Caribbean has actually ended up being less particular. Tammy was at first expected to be caught by a cold front by the middle of the upcoming week, however computer guidance is now recommending that the storm may wander around in between Puerto Rico and Bermuda for a long time.
Typhoon Katrina (August 2005) ended up being a big and extremely effective typhoon that caused massive destruction and substantial loss of life. It is the costliest cyclone to ever strike the United States, surpassing the record formerly held by Hurricane Andrew from 1992.
Hurricane Katrina - Wikipedia
The biggest death in Cyclone Katrina was due to flooding triggered by engineering defects in the flood defense system, especially the levee around the city of New Orleans. Eventually, 80% of the city, in addition to big locations in neighboring parishes, were flooded for weeks.
Typhoon cautions have now been released for numerous islands in the northeast Caribbean. That indicates cyclone conditions are expected in a few of these areas. You can see the latest cautions and watches in the map below.
Heavy rainfall, strong winds and high browse from Tammy ought to spread out throughout the eastern Caribbean islands through Saturday. Those effects will last through a minimum of early Sunday in some locations.
Rain totals could be 4 to 8 inches (in your area approximately 12 inches) in the Leeward Islands. The northern Windward Islands might see 2 to 4 inches of rain (locally approximately 6 inches). Parts of eastern Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands could see 1 to 2 inches of rainfall (locally up to 4 inches).
T he heavy rainfall might trigger flooding and mudslides in some of these locations.
Norma, now a Classification 1 storm since 2 p.m. ET, is expected to move over or near parts of Mexico's Baja California Sur-- consisting of Cabo San Lucas-- late Saturday afternoon or early evening, the National Cyclone Center stated.
Flying Force Reserve Cyclone Hunters observed Norma's center situated offshore just west of Cabo San Lucas on Saturday afternoon, and hurricane and conditions were occurring over some locations of of southern Baja California Sur, according to the cyclone center.
Norma is expected to be somewhat weaker by the time it strikes land, but it still will be a cyclone that might bring dangerous conditions to a tourist-friendly area that's home to a couple of hundred thousand individuals, the typhoon center stated.
In the Atlantic Ocean, meanwhile, Cyclone Tammy-- a Category 1 storm since Saturday afternoon-- has actually activated hurricane cautions for portions of the Leeward Islands, a chain of a number of island nations and areas in between the Caribbean Sea and the open Atlantic. Tammy's winds picked up speed to 85 miles per hour.
Neither storm is a risk to the United States.
In the Atlantic, Tammy maintained optimal sustained winds of 85 miles per hour and was centered about 25 miles north-northeast of Guadeloupe, the National Cyclone Center stated at 2 p.m. ET.
The Category 1 cyclone lay about 50 miles southeast of Antigua by Saturday afternoon, the hurricane center said.
Tammy is anticipated to move near or over parts of the Leeward Islands-- including Guadeloupe and Antigua and Barbuda-- through Saturday night, and after that move north of the northern Leeward Islands on Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds extended outside up to 25 miles from the storm's center and tropical storm-force winds extended external up to 125 miles.
Hurricanes in this part of the Atlantic are unusual for late October. Tammy is just the third hurricane to form this far southeast in the Atlantic because 1900, according to hurricane specialist Michael Lowry.
It's also the latest-forming typhoon in this part of the Atlantic because 1966, according to Phil Klotzbach, a research scientist in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.
Typhoon experts previously cautioned typhoons might form in unusual areas later on in the season this year because of the remarkably warm Atlantic Ocean.
A storm surge of 1 to 3 feet is possible for parts of the Leeward Islands.
Heavy rainfall will be among the storm's most severe dangers and might result in flash flooding and mudslides. Rainfall overalls for the Leeward Islands are expected to be 4 to 8 inches, but could reach a foot in places where the heaviest rain establishes. Rain should be lighter in Puerto Rico and the British and United States Virgin Islands, where 1 to 2 inches of rain is probably.
Conditions will begin to improve from south to north across the island chain by late Sunday as the storm moves north out of the region.
With Tammy in the Atlantic, just two names are left-- Vince and Whitney-- on the basic Atlantic storm name list before the cyclone center turns to an alternate list of names.
Hurricane Tammy